Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1143 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2025
Valid 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms may approach the northeastern Gulf Coast later
today; however, the majority of lightning will remain offshore.
...Northeastern Gulf Coast...
Negligible height changes are expected across the Gulf Basin today
within a broad west-southwesterly flow regime. Early in the period,
veered LLJ will focus across the northern FL Gulf Coast, and this
will encourage weak elevated convection that will gradually sag
southeast through the period, along/ahead of a frontal surge.
Buoyancy is forecast to remain quite weak through the period as
boundary-layer temperatures and dew points will prove inadequate for
SBCAPE inland. Will maintain low probabilities for lightning near
the Coast, but the main risk for a few elevated thunderstorms will
likely hold mostly offshore through the period.
..Darrow/Squitieri.. 01/13/2025
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