Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 PM CST Fri Dec 06 2024
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorm potential will persist overnight from central
and southeastern Arizona and southern New Mexico to East Texas.
...Discussion...
A few thunderstorms -- associated with a nearly stationary mid-level
low centered near Nogales AZ -- have occurred over the past several
hours. A few flashes will remain possible this evening, aided by
steep lapse rates aloft associated with the mid-level cold pool.
Overall however, a diminishing trend is expected.
Farther east, across southern New Mexico and particularly into
central and eastern Texas, low-level warm advection is resulting in
weak ascent. This ascent is supporting showery convection across
central and southeastern Texas, which should continue through the
night. Occasional lightning flashes will be possible across the
region, within this warm-advection regime. In these areas, severe
weather is not expected, and thunderstorm potential appears nil
across the remainder of the CONUS.
..Goss.. 12/07/2024
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