Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 AM CST Fri Nov 29 2024
Valid 291630Z - 301200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will persist over the eastern U.S.
today. Surface high pressure over the southern Plains/Southeast and
offshore low-level flow trajectories over the Gulf and western
Atlantic are expected to generally limit thunderstorm potential
across the CONUS through the period, with a couple of exceptions.
A front will continue southward over the FL Peninsula, with limited
low-level convergence due to weak/veered boundary-layer flow. While
isolated convection may occur today along/near the front, this
activity should generally remain elevated. A strong inversion noted
between 670-630 mb on the 12Z TBW sounding should also limit updraft
intensities.
Finally, low-topped convection occurring with snow bands in the lee
of the Lower Great Lakes may reach sufficient depth to support
charge separation and occasional lightning flashes.
..Gleason/Wendt.. 11/29/2024
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