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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

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Monday, November 25, 2024

SPC Nov 25, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1011 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024

Valid 251630Z - 261200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms not expected through tonight.

...Upper OH Valley...
Morning water vapor imagery shows a strong and progressive shortwave
trough moving across the central/northern Plains. As this feature
tracks eastward, the associated surface cold front will advance
across the upper OH and TN Valleys. Most 12z CAM solutions suggest
a corridor of slightly greater thunderstorm potential - mainly after
dark - along the front from eastern KY into adjacent parts of OH/WV
and eventually southwest PA. Strong winds aloft and a rather
focused low-level jet feature may aid in the development of gusty
winds in sustained showers or thunderstorms in this region.
However, very minimal CAPE suggests the risk of severe storms is
rather low.

..Hart/Thornton.. 11/25/2024


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