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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

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Friday, November 15, 2024

SPC Nov 15, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1011 AM CST Fri Nov 15 2024

Valid 151630Z - 161200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
through tonight.

...Synopsis...
Water-vapor imagery late this morning shows a large-scale upper
trough from WA southward into CA, and it is forecast to move east
into the Interior West through tonight. Cold mid-level temperatures
(-28 to -31 deg C per the Reno, NV and Medford, OR 12 UTC raobs,
respectively) will foster fleeting pockets of scant instability and
support an occasional lightning flash with convection on the
windward side of the southern Sierra Nevada through early afternoon.
Elsewhere, a stray lightning flash may occur over the Great Basin
mainly later today but overall coverage is expected to be less than
10 percent. Mostly tranquil weather conditions will prevail across
the Great Plains eastward to the East Coast.

..Smith.. 11/15/2024


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