Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0732 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024
Valid 141300Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible this morning and
afternoon across parts of New England as an upper trough continues
eastward. Other low-topped convection will be possible today beneath
the upper trough over portions of the Great Lakes, with seasonably
warm lake temperatures and cold mid-level temperatures supporting
modest buoyancy and occasional lightning flashes. Finally, isolated
thunderstorms may occur this afternoon and evening across parts of
UT and northern AZ into western CO, as a weak shortwave trough moves
slowly southeastward over the Great Basin and Southwest. Weak
instability across all these regions should greatly limit potential
for severe thunderstorms through the period.
..Gleason/Jewell.. 10/14/2024
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