Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 AM CDT Fri Apr 05 2024
Valid 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
...Synopsis...
A deep upper-level trough will move eastward across the western
CONUS today into tonight, with a basal mid/upper-level jet maximum
forecast to impinge on the southern Rockies and eventually the
southern High Plains by the end of the period. An expansive surface
cyclone is forecast to consolidate across parts of the
central/northern Rockies and High Plains through the period.
Low-level moisture will remain sparse, but cold temperatures aloft
and favorable ascent will support thunderstorm potential across
parts of the Southwest, and also the northern Rockies and High
Plains. Weak instability should generally limit the severe threat,
but a strong storm or two capable of producing small hail and gusty
winds will be possible across parts of MT/WY.
Across the East, dry and stable post-frontal conditions will
generally limit thunderstorm potential, as a deep cyclone meanders
near the northern New England coast.
..Dean/Moore.. 04/05/2024
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