LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1124 PM CST Thu Feb 02 2023
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The severe-thunderstorm threat appears low on Friday.
...Florida...
Southern-stream, positive-tilt short-wave trough will progress
across the Southeast and off the Atlantic Coast by 04/00z. As a
result, deep westerly flow will persist across the FL Peninsula
through the period. This will ensure weak low-level convergence
along the cold front as it advances south, into the FL Straits
during the evening.
Scattered thunderstorms are currently ongoing along the cold front,
mostly off the FL Coast west of PAM. This activity will advance
inland early this morning and track across the northern Peninsula
prior to 18z. Additional convection will likely develop along the
boundary as it surges south during the afternoon. However, forecast
lapse rates are poor, and limited instability/low-level convergence
do not favor organized robust updrafts. While gusty winds cannot be
ruled out with the strongest convection, the probability for severe
winds appear less than 5 percent.
..Darrow/Weinman.. 02/03/2023
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