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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

Friday, October 14, 2022

SPC Oct 14, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Fri Oct 14 2022 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... A large cyclonic flow pattern will be in place today across the eastern half of the nation. A cold front will advance southward through the Gulf Coast states as a cool and relatively dry airmass settles in over much of the central and eastern U.S. Low-level moisture will be maximized in south Texas and over the Florida Peninsula where surface dewpoints will be in the lower to mid 70s F. This combined with surface heating should result in a potential for thunderstorm development this afternoon and evening. However, deep-layer shear in both areas should generally be near 30 knots or less. Also, large-scale ascent will be limited. These factors should be unfavorable for severe thunderstorm development. Elsewhere across the continental United States, a few thunderstorms may also develop in parts of the Northeast today. Conditions in the Northeast should also be unfavorable for severe storms. ..Broyles/Moore.. 10/14/2022 Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
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