SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Sun Apr 17 2022
Valid 180100Z - 181200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND
WESTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...SUMMARY...
Risk for hail and locally damaging winds will continue into the
overnight hours across the lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf
Coast region.
...Central Louisiana/southern Mississippi into the Southeast...
While a gradual decrease in convective coverage/intensity has begun
in general across the southeastern quarter of the country,
vigorous/locally severe storms continue -- primarily within a
complex band of convection moving east-southeastward across the
southern Mississippi Vicinity.
Ahead of this convection, a moderately unstable airmass remains in
place, per RAP-based objective analysis and the evening LIX RAOB.
As such, with the mid-level trough moving across Missouri/Arkansas
at this time supporting a favorable large-scale dynamic/kinematic
environment, expect well-organized/locally severe storms to continue
over the next few hours. With time, some decrease in intensity will
begin, but local severe risk may linger well into the overnight
hours until the bulk of the convection shifts into the northern
Gulf.
..Goss.. 04/18/2022
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