SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Mar 01 2022
Valid 012000Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely today or tonight across the U.S.
...Synopsis...
The threat of thunderstorms remains negligible across the CONUS this
afternoon and overnight.
..Bentley.. 03/01/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1008 AM CST Tue Mar 01 2022/
...Synopsis...
Persistent surface high pressure and dry/cool conditions across the
CONUS will continue to limit the potential for thunderstorms today.
An atmospheric river will continue to flow into the Pacific
Northwest ahead of an upper-level trough, which may support
sufficient lift for modestly deep convection. Observed and forecast
soundings suggest sufficient instability may be in place this
afternoon for a lightning strike or two as temperatures warm into
the upper 50s and low 60s. This is most likely across central to
western WA, but the overall thunderstorm potential remains too
limited (below 10% probability) to delineate an area.
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