SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Wed Feb 09 2022
Valid 091630Z - 101200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. through tonight.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
An amplified large-scale pattern will persist with the continuance
of mean longwave troughing east of the Rockies. The CONUS-wide
prevalence of cool/stable conditions will likely preclude
thunderstorm development. That said, a few thunderstorms will remain
a possibility offshore near a front near/just east of the Florida
Keys and south Florida.
Elsewhere, across the Ohio Valley, while low/mid-level lapse rates
will be rather steep (> 7 C/km) with daytime heating/mixing,
low-level moisture will be quite limited within the continental
polar air mass. The scenario should be insufficient for deep
convection/lightning this afternoon/early evening across northern
Kentucky and southern Ohio and vicinity.
..Guyer.. 02/09/2022
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