SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 AM CST Sun Jan 30 2022
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
An upper-level shortwave trough will weaken as it shifts east across
the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. Southerly low-level flow will
maintain modest boundary-layer moisture from east TX into the Lower
MS Valley vicinity. Widespread cloud cover, areas of showers and
relatively warm midlevels will limit destabilization ahead of a
surface cold front forecast to shift southeast across the southern
Plains and Ozarks. Any stronger forcing for ascent will remain over
the Gulf, and weak vertical shear combined with a lack of stronger
destabilization will preclude thunderstorm activity inland.
Elsewhere, a large-scale upper trough will deepen across the western
U.S., while surface low pressure develops over AZ/NM in response.
Thunderstorm potential will remain low due to a mostly dry and
stable boundary layer.
..Leitman.. 01/30/2022
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