SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1009 AM CST Thu Nov 25 2021 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... While severe storms are not expected, thunderstorms remain possible this Thanksgiving Day mostly across south/east parts of Texas. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A progressive semi-amplified belt of westerlies will prevail over the CONUS, while a closed southern-stream low becomes increasingly cut-off over Baja. As a cold front continues southeastward, thunderstorm potential across parts of Texas into Louisiana will further diminish and be increasingly confined to near-coastal/Deep South Texas through the afternoon, and focused offshore over the western Gulf of Mexico by tonight. Factors such as weak lapse rates and weak low/mid-level winds within the warm sector and near the front suggest that severe storms are unlikely today. ..Guyer/Moore.. 11/25/2021 Read more LIVE: spc.noaa.gov
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